Anatomy of a scam: A new chapter

Anatomy of a scam: A new chapterA shout out to my new main man Nissim today, and another warning about a very insidious con game all online players should avoid at all costs.

Back in July, the Os Man was unfortunate enough to run across an advert for one EasyCasinoProfits.com, a faux Web site that promises a simple document and a couple of YouTube videos detailing – get this – a mathematical system to beat roulette online.

The unknown author claims intimate knowledge of a system designed by a young British math fanatic and has produced a ten-page document with lots of probability theory and an intuitively plausible system. Unfortunately, it’s nonsense, as each spin of the roulette wheel is an individual event, and every single spin is random. Period.

For greater detail on the EasyCasinoProfits.com scam (and more vitriolic ranting from Yours Truly), click here.

But back to Nissim, an enterprising fellow who, in the name of debunking a crank, did some actual number-crunching on the “system.” Nassim’s email to LiveCasinoDirect reads:

Hello Os.

I, too, have encountered the EasyCasinoProfits.com “easy money” promise. First it looked very promising, but common sense told me to look for some postbacks before becoming very wealthy.

I encountered your post, which was the only one I found told people it's a fraud (now there's a lot more, most of them is by people who have fallen in this scum).

So I decided to create a little program which does exactly that. I randomly produced random numbers in the range of 1 to 36, and let it run. In less than a split second – my little program told me I ran out of money (and it took 461 spins).

I figured that maybe if I tell my program to wait for more than seven spins in which some range won't come up [Ed. Note: This is the fundamental premise underpinning the EasyCasinoProfits.com “system”], it would increase my odds. So I tried, and here are the results:

When waiting for 7 spins, I lost all my money in 461 spins (as I mentioned)When waiting for 20 spins, it took no less than 167,315 to lose all my moneyWhen waiting for 30 (!) spins, I finally thought that I'm winning, but after a couple of minutes, I was told I lost all my money after 8,185,830 spins.Last, I told my program to wait for 35(!!!) spins – well ... the number of spins you'll have to make in order to lose 200 dollars is 33,867,972.

To conclude, even though the EasyCasinoProfits.com system won't make you broke (my deficit was a maximum of $20) it will surely waste a lot of your time losing it.

I'll be happy to supply you with the program or some screenshots if you'd like

Thanks for warning innocent people like me and others from frauds.

Well, you’re certainly welcome, Nissim. And thank you for your work and kind words. Keep on reading!

Unlucky as my encounter with the author of this scam (and the subsequent spamming received as the consequence of a few sacrifical mouse clicks) was, it was nothing compared to players who bought this authoritative-sounding lie only to inexplicably lose mucho bucks while EasyCasinoProfits.com rakes it in. (Embedded within the text on the “system” was a caveat to the effect that the “system” only “seemed to work” in one specific casino – 888.com – thereby most likely meaning EasyCasinoProfits.com was taking in referral money for each player scammed at 888 casino.)Not to mention all that spam.

And if you think that the player who falls for a scam like this one would have to be pretty gullible indeed, just consider how many websites are willing to tout bad information as bona fide. Here's an authortatively-named and -sounding 'site called Online Gambling Resource, which claims to be "Your One Stop For All Your Online Gambling Resources," on the matter: "One of the best free sites online with solid information is: EasyCasinoProfits.com." One wonders what other lies this phony website -- a cheap front for the pretend maths geek's scam -- is peddling.
06 December, 2008

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